Before the IHB began publicizing HELOC abuse, few realized how widespread the phenomenon really was. Now that we all know, I ask you “Will all the short sales and foreclosures caused by HELOC abuse doom the housing market?”
Today’s property is, of course, a HELOC abuse case. They are easy to find, just pick a listing at random, and it is either a 100% financing deal or HELOC abuse…
Asking Price: $415,000
Address: 65 Olivehurst, Irvine, CA 92602
{book3}
Another Brick in the Wall — Pink Floyd
All in all you’re just another brick in the wall.
All in all you’re just another brick in the wall.
People making their regular mortgage payments is the critical element that keeps money flowing into residential mortgages. Once people stop making payments according to the terms of their agreements, lenders and investors stop loaning money, and you have a colossal credit crunch. Everyone who borrows money needs to behave like another brick in the wall, or the wall will crumble. So it is with our housing market.
Many people got in over their heads because they bought too late in the rally and paid too much. Most were motivated by greed to capture appreciation, but some were honest borrowers whose life’s circumstances lead them to buy at the worst possible time. There is another group that is also in trouble, those that bought early but borrowed too much later on. This is the group that fascinates me. Why did they spend their houses?
{book7}
Many people who extracted their home equity lost their homes for lack of ability to refinance or make their new payments after their loans recast. After so many people lost their homes due to their own reckless borrowing, it is natural to wonder why these people did it. Why did they risk their home for a little spending money?
First, it was not just a little money. Many markets saw home values increase at a rate equal to the local median income. It was as if their home was another breadwinner. The lure of this easy money was too much for many to resist. The rampant, in-your-face, marketing of these loans in every available media outlet touting the glossy “lifestyle” of over-the-top consumerism was a drug to many spending addicts.
Also, during the bubble rally people really believed their house values would go up forever, and they would always have the ability to refinance enormous debts at low interest rates and maintain very low debt service costs. Most people did not think it possible they would end up in circumstances where they would lose their homes; however, they were mistaken.
Given these beliefs, the equity accumulating in their house was “free money” they just needed to access in order to live and to spend like rich people. Even though they were consuming their net worth, and making themselves poor, they believed they were rich, and they wanted to spend accordingly.
Mortgage Equity Withdrawal 1991-2007
Charts are always interesting, but what do they really mean? When you look at the chart of mortgage equity withdrawal, you can see that people took out a lot of money as house prices went up, and they spent it. It is an interesting macroeconomic phenomenon that is fascinating to economists, but it’s just another statistic of the great housing bubble. Or is it?
Here at the IHB, I document the far more interesting microeconomic consequences of mortgage equity withdrawal: people lose their homes. You can translate the big macroeconomic chart with the plethora of individual borrowers we profile here that made the bars on the chart grow so tall.
In many ways Irvine is the epicenter of the housing bubble. We were the home of subprime, and our market saw some of the greatest price changes of any local market. And as we see daily here at the IHB, Irvine residents were also major contributors to the mortgage equity withdrawal statistics.
{book1}
So my big-picture question you today is “will mortgage equity withdrawal be the straw that breaks the market’s back?”
Of course, the question assumes that the market might not have collapsed without mortgage equity withdrawal. A compelling argument can be made that the additional foreclosures caused by mortgage equity withdrawal are unnecessary to cause a market collapse. The diminishing bids caused by tighter credit are enough to lower prices. The foreclosures merely speed the process along. However, if you do not accept this argument, and if you believe the foreclosures are an essential element for the market to collapse, then mortgage equity withdrawal and the foreclosures it creates play an important part in the future of Irvine home prices.
So are the additional foreclosures caused by mortgage equity withdrawal sufficient in number to facilitate the collapse in local home prices?
Asking Price: $415,000
Income Requirement: $103,750
Downpayment Needed: $83,000
Monthly Equity Burn: $3,458
Purchase Price: $539,000
Purchase Date: 3/29/2004
Address: 65 Olivehurst, Irvine, CA 92602
Beds: | 2 |
Baths: | 2 |
Sq. Ft.: | 1,550 |
$/Sq. Ft.: | $268 |
Lot Size: | – |
Property Type: | Attached, Townhouse |
Style: | Mediterranean |
Year Built: | 2001 |
Stories: | 3+ |
View: | Courtyard, Mountain |
Area: | North Park |
County: | Orange |
MLS#: | I09021936 |
Source: | MRMLS |
Status: | Active |
On Redfin: | 2 days |
& STORAGE AREA. SECOND LEVEL: LIVING RM W/ CARPET, KITCHEN/DINING
W/ WHITE TILES, BAMBOO HARD WOOD FLOOR, TILED BATHROOM FLOOR,
WASHER/DRYER HOOKUP, BEDROOM W/ CARPET/MIRRORED CLOSET. COVERED
BALCONY. OPEN FLOOR PLAN W/ MULTIPLE WINDOWS, HIGH VAULTED CEILINGS,
RECESS LIGHTING THROUGH THE HOUSE. THIRD FLOOR: MASTER BR W/ WALK-IN
MASTER BATH, SEPERATED EXTRA-LARGE TUB, STAND-UP SHOWER, HIS/HERS
VANITY, MIRRORED CLOSET, STAIR CASE OVER LOOKING SECOND FLOOR AND
MOUNTAIN VIEW.
THIS IS A SHORT SALE!!! Congratulations!!! And thank you for the three exclamation points.
Why does this realtor use “W/” in this description? Is is critical to save the two additional characters it would require to write the word “with?”
ALL CAPS.
I find this description painful to my eyes. I had to force myself to read it. The sacrifices I make for the IHB…
SEPERATED?
- This house was purchased on 3/29/2004 for $539,000. The owner used a $431,200 first mortgage, and a $107,800 downpayment.
- On 12/10/2004 they opened a HELOC for $147,000.
- On 11/2/2006 they refinanced with a $520,000 Option ARM, and opened a new HELOC for $65,000.
- Total debt is $585,000.
- Total Mortgage Equity Withdrawal is $153,800 including their downpayment. Mostly they got their downpayment back.
If this house sells for its asking price, and if a 6% commission is paid, the total loss to the lender will be $194,900.
Another day, another future foreclosure caused my mortgage equity withdrawal.
{book4}
We don’t need no education
We don’t need no thought control
No dark sarcasm in the classroom
Teachers leave those kids alone
Hey! teachers! leave those kids alone!
All in all you’re just another brick in the wall.
All in all you’re just another brick in the wall.
We don’t need no education
We don’t need no thought control
No dark sarcasm in the classroom
Teachers leave those kids alone
Hey! teacher! leave us kids alone!
All in all you’re just another brick in the wall.
All in all you’re just another brick in the wall.
“wrong, do it again!”
“wrong, do it again!”
“if you don’t eat yer meat, you can’t have any pudding. how can you
Have any pudding if you don’t eat yer meat?”
“you! yes, you behind the bikesheds, stand still laddy!”
Another Brick in the Wall — Pink Floyd