Author Archives: zovall

Affordable Housing – Irvine Residents' Survey

The City of Irvine is conducting a Residents’ Survey to see what residents think of how the city is doing, the website, fake grass, etc. I believe they did a similar survey last year.

If you’re an Irvine resident, I encourage you to fill out the short survey:

Irvine Residents’ Survey 2006

One of the topics in this survey is about affordable housing in Irvine. Did you know “that the City has set a goal to ensure that approximately 10% of the total housing in the City by the year 2025 is affordable and remains so in perpetuity?”

As I understand it, affordable housing can be one of two things

  • homes that are sold at below market prices
  • apartments that are leased at below market prices

Let’s discuss affordable homes first. Would you like it if you paid $600k for your home and someone purchased the unit next door on the same day and paid only $300k? Believe it or not, scenarios like this have already occurred.

What about affordable apartments? Did you know that Woodbury contains some affordable apartments (here)? I think that any residents of these Woodbury apartments also have access to the Woodbury Commons – an area that Woodbury homeowners shell out mucho $$$/month for maintaining.

There are many things about the City of Irvine that I like but affordable housing is NOT one of them. I believe housing in Irvine is overpriced but I also believe in a free market. I may not make 200+k/year but I don’t have a family of 8 with an income under $25,000 either.

Anyone else feel this way?

Columbia Square – University Town Center Investment

Address: 14 Columbia #6, Irvine, CA 92612 (University Town Center)

Plan: 980 sq ft – 2/1

MLS: S459193 DOM: 42

Sale History: 9/7/2005: $483,500

8/21/1986: $131,000 <- per Zillow

Price Reduced: 10/10/06 — $498,000 to $475,000

Current Price: $475,000

We had some good comments on the other University Town Center condo so here’s another one. This condo in the Columbia Square tract was purchased as an investment about a year ago. It was subsequently rented out and will be tenant occupied until the end of November (according to the private remarks in MLS). The ‘investor’ (flipper) purchased this property with 100% financing and get this.. the lender’s name was Zero Down Mortgage! WHO ARE THESE PEOPLE?!?

I’m pretty sure the rent received on this property won’t be anywhere near the monthly cost of owning this home (this is clearly a negative cash flow situation). This ‘investor’ is losing money every month and since prices didn’t increase 15% in the last year, he’ll be losing money on the sale as well. If the condo sells at the current asking price (and assuming 6% in selling costs), he’ll have to bring about $37,000 to the table to get rid of this property.

Monticello – Another Northpark Find

Address: 22 Taquitz, Irvine, CA 92602 (Northpark)

Plan: 1400 sq ft – 2/2

MLS: S460930 DOM: 24

Sale History: 9/28/2005: $540,000

Current Price: $559,000

This (Plan 2 or 3?) condo is in the Monticello tract in Northpark Square. It was purchased last year and it looks like they had put 20% down! What a rarity if that’s true! If someone has better access, please let us know if you can confirm this. These flippers stayed in the home for less than a year before deciding to list the property.

Sorry, not much to say about this one. If they have really put 20% down, they have a lot of room to bring the price down if they are motivated to sell. At the current asking price, they will lose about $15,000 after 6% in selling costs.

Some SoCal News

From the Press-Telegram: “Housing market’s looking positive – About 12,000 Realtors gathered in Long Beach for three days last week to hear the fate of the market at the California Realtor Expo 2006 at the convention center. A housing report delivered at the conference on Wednesday forecast the median home price to fall slightly for the first time in 10 years. But most Realtors spoken with at the conference viewed the market with optimism, as did those who compiled the numbers.”

“The experts offered mostly positive outlooks for the 2007 economy and housing market for California, despite the expected drop in the median home price and a foreclosure report issued on Wednesday that showed the number of foreclosure notices sent to Californians rose to double what it was last year. Cagan discussed a study he recently released on housing resets, which looks at the impact of adjustable mortgages resetting to a higher rate after a three or so year period of fixed rates. Cagan said foreclosures will have some effect on the market, but it won’t be anything like the gloom and doom scenario of a bursting real estate bubble.

From the OC Register: “Reporter Jeff Collins joins the record numbers taking the state’s real estate license exam and struggles to avoid becoming one of the thousands who fail.”

“The number of tests administered in this state increased from about 34,000 in fiscal year 1997-98 to more than 185,000 in fiscal year 2005-06. Of those, nearly 24,000 tests were taken this past year right here in Anaheim, the fourth-busiest of the state’s 13 test sites.”

“Orange County had the second-highest number of real estate license holders in California, second only to Los Angeles.”

From the Press Enterprise: “UCLA economist Ryan Ratcliff called the recent report by Moody’s Economy.com, which forecast home prices in Riverside and San Bernardino counties to drop almost 12 percent, a bit drastic. … ‘We definitely think the real price of houses will fall, but you won’t see it in the nominal price of the home, or what’s on the price tag,’ Ratcliff said.”

“Redlands-based economist John Husing said he expects the Inland region’s steady population growth to help it bounce back from the housing slowdown before the rest of the state. ‘The Inland market is in a little bit better shape than other places because it’s still so much less expensive than the coast,’ he said. ‘The growth in Orange County is basically done.’ “

Also from the Press Enterprise: “Commuters looking for a cheaper place to live are still gazing east toward Riverside and San Bernardino counties, even though apartment rents have risen 6 percent since this time last year, according to a report released last week. Inland-area rents have risen to an average of $1,129, but that’s still cheaper than a $1,546 average monthly rent payment in Orange and Los Angeles counties, according to RealFacts Inc.”

” ‘Because house prices are high and interest rates are high, the monthly payment for homes is substantially higher than rent,’ she said ‘(Homebuyers) right now are sitting on the sidelines,’ and renting while they wait out the housing price dip, she said. Land in Los Angeles and Orange County is still expensive and sparse, which makes the Inland region more attractive for dense apartment buildings, said Jack Keyser, chief economist of the Los Angeles County Economic Development Corp. But many homeowners say ‘not in my backyard’ when dense rental development is proposed”